Biz yalnızca bir aracı kurumdan fazlasıyız. Analiz etmek, işlem yapmak ve büyümek için ihtiyacınız olan her şeyi tek bir yerde sunan, hepsi bir arada bir işlem ekosistemiyiz. İşlem deneyiminizi bir üst seviyeye taşımaya hazır mısınız?
Imre Speizer, Research Analyst at Westpac, suggests that they expect the RBNZ to keep the OCR on hold at 1.75% at Thursday’s OCR Review, and to repeat the previous guidance and although this is market-neutral, but there’s a small risk of a dovish outcome.
Key Quotes
“Developments since the August MPS have been slightly net negative relative to the RBNZ’s forecasts: lower house prices, and slightly lower GDP growth, mostly offset by a lower exchange rate and higher near term inflation.”
“We expect that the final paragraph of the one-page press release will be a repeat of the phrases that have been used more-or-less unchanged for the past five missives: “Monetary policy will remain accommodative for a considerable period. Numerous uncertainties remain and policy may need to adjust accordingly.” There should be little market reaction to this.”
“Our dovish scenario (15% chance) would see the policy guidance paragraph changed to reflect the possibility the next change in the OCR could be either a cut or a hike. Concern would be expressed about cooler housing and stalled construction activity. In response, NZD/USD could fall by 1c and 2yr swap by 10bp.”
“A hawkish scenario (10% chance) is more difficult to construct, but would emphasise improving global economic conditions and rising confidence among major central banks. In response, NZD/USD could rise by 0.5c and 2yr swap by 5bp.”
