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Treasuries higher as soft data fuels bids in bunds – RBS
FXStreet (Barcelona) - William O'Donnell, Head of US Treasury Strategy at RBS, comments on the bond market and further gives the technical outlook and key levels for US Treasuries.
Key Quotes
“Treasuries are modestly higher as disappointing readings in Chinese, Japanese and EU PMI's put a bid back in Bunds, Gilts and EU peripherals (Greece 10's -33bp). Bunds have outperformed UST 10's by ~1bp this morning.”
“Our overnight US rates flows saw Asian real$ 2-way flows in 10yrs and bank buying in 30yrs. In London hours we saw more Asian real$ buying in 30yrs. Overnight inter-dealer Treasury volume perked up to 168% of the 10-day average.”
“2s (0.54%)- Next major support doesn't emerge until ~0.80% where we found buyers back in the spring of 2011. Resistance seen at 0.40% where we'd close a gap left behind in late October. Daily momentum is now bearish with evidence of Bearish Divergence too”
“5s (1.37%)- Next support sits at 1.46% and then stronger support comes in at 1.70% and just above. Next resistance begins at ~1.30% and extends down to major resistance at 1.15%. Daily momentum is mildly bearish.”
“10s (1.957%)-Next resistance comes in some congestion in and around 1.80% then the low yields of 1.64%. Next support comes in ~2.00% with stronger support at ~2.24% after that. Daily momentum is bearish now.”
“30s (2.635%)- Bonds have nearby support ~2.85% and then better support up near 3.10%. Next resistance around 2.40%. Daily momentum is leaning bearishly.”
